What happens to our annual goal if we cancel this event?
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Scenario Analysis
| Scenario | Revenue | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Optimistic | $3,302,212 | 25% |
| Base Case | $2,902,212 | 50% |
| Conservative | $2,602,212 | 25% |
Expected Value
$2,927,212
$2,602,212 – $3,302,212
Base case assumes current donor retention holds steady at 65%.
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