What should we cut if revenue drops 20%?
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Scenario Analysis
| Scenario | Revenue | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Optimistic | $3,249,605 | 25% |
| Base Case | $2,849,605 | 50% |
| Conservative | $2,549,605 | 25% |
Expected Value
$2,874,605
$2,549,605 – $3,249,605
Base case assumes current donor retention holds steady at 65%.
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