What happens if revenue drops 10%, 20%, or 30% — what's the contingency?
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Scenario Analysis
| Scenario | Revenue | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Optimistic | $3,066,409 | 25% |
| Base Case | $2,666,409 | 50% |
| Conservative | $2,366,409 | 25% |
Expected Value
$2,691,409
$2,366,409 – $3,066,409
Base case assumes current donor retention holds steady at 65%.
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