What will year-end giving look like based on early indicators?
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Scenario Analysis
| Scenario | Revenue | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Optimistic | $2,844,168 | 25% |
| Base Case | $2,444,168 | 50% |
| Conservative | $2,144,168 | 25% |
Expected Value
$2,469,168
$2,144,168 – $2,844,168
Base case assumes current donor retention holds steady at 65%.
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