What would happen if we lost our top 3 donors?
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Scenario Analysis
| Scenario | Revenue | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Optimistic | $3,368,151 | 25% |
| Base Case | $2,968,151 | 50% |
| Conservative | $2,668,151 | 25% |
Expected Value
$2,993,151
$2,668,151 – $3,368,151
Base case assumes current donor retention holds steady at 65%.
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